NBA 2022 West Finals, Game 1: Warriors vs Mavericks prediction and betting tips (May 18)

The 3rd seeded Warriors battle the Mavericks who entered the playoffs as the 4th seed in game 1 of the 2022 NBA Finals. This is the Mavericks’ first time in the Western Conference finals since 2011.
Stephen Curry (Warriors) hasn’t been that great in this playoff

Stephen Curry (Warriors) hasn’t been that great in this playoff

by   Olaniyi Ifabiyi

The battle for a spot in the 2022 NBA finals will begin at the Chase Center with the Warriors possessing the home-court advantage, the Mavericks are coming off a 7 games series against the Phoenix Suns, handing the Suns a shocking second-round exit while the Warriors faced the young fierce Memphis Grizzlies and put the series to an end in 6 games. The Warriors are making their first Western Conference finals appearance since 2019.

The match starts at 9:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, 18 May 2022. The game time by GMT is 1:00 a.m. on Thursday, May 19. The match venue is Chase Center, San Francisco, CA.

Betting tips and match predictions for the Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks (May 18) game are available in this article. The latest betting odds, key stats, team news, and projected starting lineups are previewed below.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks latest odds on betting sites

The Golden State Warriors money line odds are priced at 1.47 (-212 American; 25/53 Fractional), while the Dallas Mavericks money line odds are priced at 2.75 (+175; 7/4). This equals approximate probabilities of 68% against 32% respectively.


  • Over 214.5 points — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Under 214.5 points — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)


  • Golden State Warriors -5.0: 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Dallas Mavericks +5.0: 1.91 (-110; 10/11)

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks match preview and statistics

The Warriors had to pass through a fierce young blooded Memphis Grizzlies with Ja Morant out injured in game 5, consequently missing out on games 5 and 6 as the Warriors cruised past them in a 4-2 series win. Stephen Curry in game 6 against the Grizzlies, dropped 29 points, grabbed 7 rebounds and added 5 assists.

Klay Thompson led the team in game 6 with 30 points on 8 of 14 shooting from long range. Andrew Wiggins followed with 18 points, and 11 rebounds double-double while Draymond Green also had a double-double for himself with 14 points and 15 boards. Kevon Looney was big on rebounding for the Warriors with a game-high 22 rebounds.

Team statistics: 41/104 (39.4%) field goals, 20/53 (37.7%) 3 pointers, 8/11 (72.7%) free throws, 24 assists, 70 total rebounds, 10 blocks, 3 steals, 7 turnovers, 17 fouls.

Golden State Warriors team news: James Wiseman, Andre Iguodala, and Gary Payton II are ruled out for the match.

The Mavericks shocked the whole basketball world by the massive upset of the number 1 seed, the Phoenix Suns who finished the regular season with the best record in the NBA in a 7-game series. In a win or go home situation, the Mavericks rose to the occasion and defeated the Suns by 33 points. Luka Doncic led the Mavericks in points with a 35 points 10 rebounds double-double, he was 12 of 19 from the field.

Spencer Dinwiddie from the bench was instrumental to the Mavericks’ win with 30 points, shooting 5 of 7 from long range.

Jalen Brunson followed up with 24 points, 6 boards and a steal.

Team statistics: 46/81 (56.8%) field goals, 19/39 (48.7%) 3 pointers, 12/12 (100.0%) free throws, 14 assists, 43 total rebounds, 9 steals, 6 blocks, 11 turnovers, 17 fouls.

Dallas Mavericks team news: Tim Hardaway Jr is ruled out for the match.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks H2H

In the regular season, the Mavericks won 3 of their four matchups against the Warriors while in playoffs history, they’ve only met once and that was the 2008 Western Conference first-round which the Warriors won 4-2. This is their second matchup in playoffs history.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks lineups and key players

Golden State Warriors projected starting lineup:

  • Point guard: Stephen Curry
  • Shooting guard: Klay Thompson
  • Small forward: Andrew Wiggins
  • Power forward: Draymond Green
  • Center: Kevon Looney

Stephen Curry is the key player to watch out for. He hasn’t been that great for the Warriors this playoff but he still leads the team with 26.9ppg. With the playoff experience under his belt, he sure will turn the switch and have a blow-up game in due time.

Dallas Mavericks projected starting lineup:

  • Point guard: Luka Doncic
  • Shooting guard: Jalen Brunson
  • Small forward: Reggie Bullock
  • Power forward: Dorian Finney-Smith
  • Center: Dwight Powell

Luka Doncic is the key player to watch out for. He has been the Mavericks’ best player and at times he’s tasked with single handling opposing teams. He averages 31.5 ppg and 10.1 rpg in this playoff. He has a good record against the Warriors in the regular season averaging 31.5ppg and 9 rebounds against them.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks predictions and betting tips

This will be an exciting series with both teams almost equalling matching each other. Although the Mavericks have a better defensive rating in this postseason allowing only about 102 points per game while the Warriors allow 110 ppg but the Warriors have the advantage in points scored per game with 114.2ppg while the Mavericks average 106.2ppg. Both teams also have the same playing style, flooring a similar small-ball lineup and relying heavily on 3-points. The Mavericks have attempted 40.3 3-pointers per game while the Warriors have about 38 attempts per game. We expect the game to be won by whoever shoots better from long range.

If the Mavericks role players like Spencer Dinwiddie can be consistent and continue with his hot form, the Mavericks will take game 1. One factor to consider is the Warriors have a better playoff experience, they know the essence of home-court advantage, they will look to take the first two games at home and with Stephen Curry overdue for a blow-up game, the Warriors are poised to win the game. Predictions for this game are the Golden State Warriors to win and over 214.5 points.

Betting prediction: Golden State Warriors to win

Odds: 1.47 (-212 American; 25/53 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Over 214.5 points

Odds: 1.91 (-110 American; 10/11 Fractional)

Basketball NBA . Western Conference Finals. Game 1
Golden State Warriors — Dallas Mavericks

Not settled

Over 214.5 points